Birthing an Eurasian Security Architecture

Russia with strategic ally China are finessing the Ukrainian war resolution into a new security architecture as the West flounders

Published: 2024-07-12

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A Future-Oriented Strategic Partnership

On the day before the Winter Olympics in Beijing, and 3 weeks before Russia announced its Special Military Operation (SMO), Russia and China announced a dramatic expansion of their diplomatic ties. An article titled "Russia and China: A Future-Oriented Strategic Partnership", written by the Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin, was published in China's state news organisation, Xinhua.

Among many other sentences of commitment to joint values and objectives, the following caught the eye of many geostrategic analysts:

They reaffirm that the new inter-State relations between Russia and China are superior to political and military alliances of the Cold War era.

Ray McGovern translated this as "joined at the hip". Now, almost two and half years later, his characterization has proven accurate. The hint is in the title, "Strategic Partnership". Russia and China are collaborating on strategy.

China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) mega-project is a vehicle, a tactic, as is Russia's EurAsian Economic Union (EAEU). The strategy is to reduce their combined vulnerability to destabilization by the West, as represented by its various nations, groups and mechanisms. These are embodied in organisations like the G7, NATO, the EU commission, and the IMF. Russia and China with collaborating nations like India, Iran, Brazil and many others have strengthened existing structures like BRICS and the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) and created news ones, like the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and the New Development Bank (NDB). They are creating more like mBridge, a Central Bank Digital Currency international payment processing system based on a "permissioned distributed ledger". These alternatives to Western dominated organisations and mechanisms have been used by the non-Western aligned nations to implement the tactics of their greater strategy.

The West's media for the masses, and most of its media for the elites, remain mum on this grand geostrategic realignment and the pieces being used to affect it. The West's masses, its pawns, are not to be bothered by the new pieces, the move sequences or strategy of the non-Western powers.

Picking a Fight with a Peer Power

The Ukraine war was authorized for the West's ideologically driven foot soldiers in Zbigniew Brzezinski's book "The Grand Chessboard". It identified Ukraine as a weak underbelly for Russia. A variant of the West's standard ploy was run, with the elected, corrupt Ukrainian government removed in a coup following years of NGO delivered propaganda. The muscle for the coup was provided by neo-Nazi militias who received entry into the US chosen, unelected regime approved by other corrupt Ukrainian oligarchs and various US ones.

Four months into that installed government's reign it initiated an ethnic cleansing, a pogrom, against the Russian ethnic people's of the Donbas under the cover of an 'anti-terrorist' operation. The astute peoples of the Crimea and Donbas saw the writing on the wall, ejected local Ukrainian ultra-nationalists and declared their independence or desire to rejoin Russia. For the next eight years the US supported its Ukrainian regime in the ethnic-cleansing civil war, all the while arming Nazis as the regime banned political parties and consolidated government control over Ukraine's media. After a brief spat of honest reporting in 2016 the West's media fell mum on the Nazis in Ukraine and their war crimes in their war against the peoples of Ukraine's east.

The US, with its EU commission and NATO allies, picked a fight with a peer power which was not so easily divided, bribed and propagandized into groups to be played one against the other. Russia's people have memory of invading European powers, and of Nazis. The NATOization and Nazification of Ukraine represented a fundamental attack on Russia's security, with the potential for nuclear capable missile silos being built in Ukraine. Russia awoke its national defence strategy and unified. Its Central Bank was surprised with just how effectively its new economic non-Western allies were able to assist Russia in deflecting and then reflecting the West's economic warfare.

The April 2023 "US Intel Leaks" confirmed the descriptions of military analysts who had been describing just how poorly things were proceeding for the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) along the 1000 Km long lines of contact. The fatalities were 6 Ukrainian to every Russian. Ukraine was almost out of any effective air defense. The great Spring-Summer-Autumn, whenever it will come, Ukrainian counter-offensive played out to a whimper against the Surovikin defensive line which the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation had constructed. The AFU reached the first of the three deep defensive lines, briefly, a few times during the entire "offensive". NATO provided wunderweapons were left burning on the clogged roads of approach. The mighty citadel of Bakhmut fell not long after the counter-offensive had been countered.

Following the winter interlude, the playbook has continued with the Rout of Avdiivka and two new fronts established by Russia to the north of Kharkiv. Ukraine's main success has been at the hands of its NATO allies on the Black Sea, much to Russia's embarrassment. But, on the land, artillery, glide bombs and waves of drones reign in Russia's favour, though the fatality ratio has slightly worsened for Russia to now be 5 Ukrainian for each Russian. Ukraine is grabbing men off the street to feed into this death trap. Many are refusing to attack or are surrendering.

[US Generals start to admit that their wunderweapons don’t amount to much versus a Peer Power.]

The Russian Ministry of Defense's tally for dead enemy soldiers exceeds half a million (626 198 as of 2024-07-12 08:28 AEST). This almost matches the AFU's estimated total strength at the beginning of the SMO (650 000). One must conclude that the number of fully trained soldiers in the AFU is extremely low, and that the number of experienced officers is even lower. On top of this, the systems with which they have been forced to fight have been constantly changing, reducing their ability to effectively operate them.

Yet, the West continues to ignore every offer of settlement from Russia, maintaining a media line of fighting on so that Ukraine may "negotiate from a position of strength" when there is no strength left in the AFU. The profiteering and political panic could not be more obvious below the rhetoric. Russia has not only won, but given the West's intransigence, can now play the conflict to its geostrategic advantage. The resolution of the conflict in Europe will be tied to a new Eurasian security architecture. This is the message which Russia has recently been issuing and the West's media deliberately not mentioning.

The Easiest Geopolitical Salespitch

Not only have the West's geostrategic minnow's failed to understand Russia's historic memory and strength, but also failed to understand the consequences of their dual strategy. The weakening of Russia was meant as a prelude to the real war which has been laid out for public viewing in US strategic documents for a decade. The main game was a war with China, to be triggered by a conflict over Taiwan or some other engineered or happenstance event. It is to China's advantage that Russia maintains its strength and integrity, so long as Russia is committed to working with China towards its strategic objectives. This was exactly what the agreement of 2022-02-04 declared and is the basis for China not objecting to Russia's SMO, in contravention of its previous constant adherence to the Westphalian doctrine of territorial integrity. It took the US dual threat to force China to abandon its long held principle.

In the face of the failing hegemon's two war strategy, first against Russia and then against China, and with the background of continued economic war against Iran, a physical war against Syria, an occupation of Iraq and Syria, and support for the most destabilizing and vicious state in southwest Asia, Israel, it has not been difficult for Russia and China to sell its neighbours an alternative to the danger of aligning with the West. Alternatives have been presented (SCO, BRICS, EAEU) and accepted. Free yourself from the domination of the white, Christian, colonial former powers and join a multi-racial, multi-denominational, multi-civilizational, multi-nodal world, the members of which include the majority of the planet's population, its leading economy and the nation with the most advanced military technology.

Could the West's strategists have made things any easier for Russia and China? The nations with which they are in negotiation all have experience of being dominated by these colonialists and forgone powers.

Into this absurd situation of the West's rhetoric proclaiming the continued killing of 50 000 Ukrainian's a month to somehow magically save democracy via the most corrupt government in Europe (and possibly world-wide) the new head of the rotating presidency of the Council of Europe has set forth to pull the veil aside and reveal the idiocy being pursued by the West. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban began his call for an end to the killing, to save what is left of Ukraine, to remove the scourge of war from Europe and from his nation's border. The establishment bureaucrats in the EU lost their minds in shock.

That shock is exacerbated by the state of political disunity in the US. Genocide Joe has been revealed to be nothing more than a corrupt, old man suffering the mental degradation of age, whose advisers have been tip-toeing around the Oval Office trying not to set off the anger which old men tend to display, frustrated in their decline. The pitiful, old man is lost. He can't remember things. But, true to form, he continues to declare that he's running the world. The US Democrats' donors are split with the non-Military Industrial Complex section, like the heiress to the Disney fortune, declaring that they've already left the sinking ship. The refurbished new ship, one Donald Trump, is quietly steaming on beside the Democratic life rafts.

Back in Europe, the flotilla of vessels behind the "weaken Russia" campaign are in a storm of their own, in the wash up of the vote for the EU parliament. Thereafter, France's election was engineered to create a three-way split, hung parliament to deny Le Pen's National Rally from gaining a majority. Germany is suffering a recession (or minuscule growth) while its coalition party The Greens received a shellacking at the EU elections. The German financial statistics would, of course, be worse if it wasn't selling weapons to Israel to continue its genocide. 14 years of Tory rule in Britain has seen the nation leave the EU during a rise in economic hardship.

Playing Peace Among Warmongers

This is the field of play from which Viktor Orban's peace mission originated and from which Russia, with China's backing, is declaring that the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine must be based on an Eurasian security architecture. The chaos in Europe and the US is providing Russia, and its ally-in-strategy China, with additional time to construct this architecture. The US does not want a resolution to Ukraine, yet. The result of the US presidential election is not yet known, because the donors’ money is not fully allocated.

North Korea's recent strategic partnership with Russia indicates that it will join the nascent security architecture, along with China and almost certainly the members of the CSTO (Common Security Treaty Organisation). Discussions must be afoot within SCO member states too.

The European vassals have been strategically outplayed by Orban's choice of political action. They have been left with the onerous task of declaring support at NATO's behest for a losing war in contradiction to a sensible, humane call for peace. Their first response was to declare that Orban can speak for Hungary but not for the EU. Orban’s response was to tell the bureaucrats to leave politics to the politicians.

A Hungarian member of the German Marshall Fund has published advice for the panicked bureaucrats on how to remove Orban from the rotating presidency of the Council of Europe. All it will take is a 4/5th majority vote on the Council to rewrite the presidential term for Hungary. This would be a first and destroy any credibility in the political half (the council) of the two parts (the other being the commission) of the EU's executive. Does the EU want to destroy itself and NATO over the lost war in Ukraine?

Recall, there is a big new organisation to supposedly contain 700 employees to manage the NATO funds which are lined up to be spent on weapons supplies to Ukraine. This "Trump-proofed" NATO money laundering scheme is threatened by the peace which Orban is threatening and may be escalating the EU bureaucratic and political freak out.

The EU, money laundering, bureaucratic schemers have other troubles on their horizon. The biggest pile of assets they've been plotting control over is the $260+ billion dollars of the Central Bank of Russia sitting in Euroclear and some British accounts. Saudi Arabia's MBS recently informed the clique that, should they steal those assets, Saudi Arabia will remove its investments from the EU, and France in particular. That there would be geopolitical ramifications for the largest Central Bank theft in history has not been a risky prediction. Whether the bureaucratic grifters care remains to be seen.

Russia Grinds On

Returning to NATO's lost war in Ukraine, Dima reports that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (AFRF) have crossed the river from northern Vovchansk to establish a foothold in the tall buildings of the University complex on the south bank. This, if held, represents a very significant advance. If it can be pushed out, it will divide the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) in two and leave the half on the eastern side with even more difficult logistics. Meanwhile AFRF advances in the north east of Kharkiv near Kupiansk continue, as with multiple advances in central and southern Donetsk. Contact reports have been thinner from the Ukrainian side under the media blackout expected during the NATO picture show in Washington D.C.

Returning to the strategic picture, while Russia grinds on, it, China and their multi-national organisations are degrading the utility and potential for a war with China. The world outside of the West's mediasphere can see how pathetic the Western military industrial complexes' products and production are, and how politically inept its leadership is.

The West's strategists are still living two decades ago when Brzezinski's book was published. The world has since transformed. The ossified Wolfowitz dogma being pursued by both the West's inept strategists and propagandized politicians is shattering against a new economic, political and military-technical reality.

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