SitRep / Stanistan
CRZTY-GCWUP
[Image: By U.S. Secretary of Defense - 200229-D-AP390-1529, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=87595648]
Publication: 2021-08-20
To: Globalist OneWorldGovt Network
From: Stanistan
Subject: SitRep / CONFIDENTIAL / NO-FORN
China-Russia want Afghanistan integrated into the BRI/SCO (Belt and Road Initiative/Shanghai Cooperation Organisation) which already includes almost all of Afghanistan's neighbours as full or about to be full members.
China wants natural gas from Turkmenistan, and the Lithium and other rare earth minerals from Afghanistan.
Russia wants to control natural gas exports from the 'stans.
Neither Russia nor China wants Islamic fundamentalist insurgents or political instability in Afghanistan of the other central Asia 'stans.
USA wants to prevent the BRI/SCO and China accessing the natural gas or mineral resources.
The Taliban need cash. The USA has frozen/stolen 80+% of Afghanistan's economic national assets, just as it did with Venezuela recently. This is a power play to place economic pressure on China-Russia.
The Taliban possess much USA military hardware, particularly helicopters, and getting that serviced and operational as soon as possible is a national security objective.
The Taliban has signaled that they will again outlaw the growing of poppies, which cuts off cash supplies for CIA black ops, which apparently has driven a few Beltway bandits stir crazy.
Pakistan seems to be in quite some financial trouble and the last thing they need is political or economic instability. The same is true for Iran, although they have signed a 25 year package with China which stabilized things for them.
India have been largely cut out of the loop, but have good relations with Russia, and will likely be re-injected into the framework when the dust settles.
The hegemon has two obvious strategies, one is financial destabilization of China, the other is false flags to cause a re-invasion. Neither look easy in the short term. Thus, we expect a hybrid war on Afghanistan, including ISIS/Khorosan, the playing of Pakistan where possible, exploiting the Sunni/Shia split and continued "insurgency" pressure on Xinjiang. Deflections in the South China Sea or East China Sea are likely to continue. Recent diplomatic visits by the hegemon to SE Asia have been largely fruitless, except India. Hence their current freeze.
Turkey is the permanent wild card, but Russia-China advice are likely to mostly neutralize this lever.
Expect a "mild but firm" crackdown on video journalism in Afghanistan soon. The Taliban are instructed to control their messaging during the transition.
/Purring White Cat