US v Iran: The Playbook
Brian Berletic's analysis illuminates the US deepstate's program
Published: 2025-06-17
Updated 2025-06-22: Added an article to sources by Peter Cronau which supports Berletic’s thesis.
Brian Berletic’s Analysis
US plans to overthrow the government of Iran and replace it with a compliant regime are many. The script which is currently being run, according to Brian Berletic, was written in 2009 and published by the Brookings Institution. Berletic brought his analysis to public attention via an article published by New Eastern Outlook on April 15, 2024.
The dilemma which the US is creating to place before the Iranian people is to choose between constant warfare mixed with economic strangulation or accepting a US controlled regime which will subvert Iran to a vassal state from which the US can then launch wars on central Asia. Iran may look to Afghanistan or Syria to see its future as a US vassal.
The Regime Change War
In response to the US & Israeli illegal war, Iran has recovered from the initial sabotage and assassinations. Iran's military command and control network is under its control again. Its military leadership has been reconstituted. It has launched over 8 rounds of ballistic and hypersonic missiles which have damaged key Israeli installations including its Ministry of Defense, main airbase in the Negev desert and aviation fuel refinery at Haifa.
Berletic emphasized that Iran's mission is survival. Its primary enemy is the US.
Expending significant amounts of its arsenal destroying Israel will leave it vulnerable to US attack until it has secured declared and actual military support from its allies Russia and China. But, this potential situation implies a total global war which it and its allies wish to avoid. Iran must play a careful game of exacting damage on its opponents while maintaining a defensive capability even as the US proxy, Israel, targets its civilians with implicit US support.
Warcrimes from A-Z
Israel's war crime tactics against Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank are on display again. Israel attacked a hospital and the national broadcaster in Iran. US + Israel's genocide in Gaza has included the almost total destruction of Gaza's healthcare facilities and the record for targeted assassinations of journalists.
In 4 days, the US-Israeli proxy war against Iran has raised global energy prices by 13%. Yesterday, Israel has murdered another 66 starving Palestinians in Gaza, 38 of whom were seeking aid.
Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin called the US President to offer Trump congratulations on his birthday and Russia's services to negotiate an end to the war. The US has responded, in part, by sending more military assets, including refueling aircraft, to west Asia.
Betrayal and Self-isolation
By using the ruse of negotiations over Iran's civilian nuclear program to lower Iran's guard, the US has burnt any trust which nations may have still had in it. The US is not "agreement incapable", but a malign regime which abuses international law and institutions to further its hegemony via any tactic, including betrayal.
Indeed, the other current US proxy, Ukraine, has just learnt how stupid they were to believe anything US representatives ever said to them. The US has diverted air defense systems to Israel, leaving Ukraine even more vulnerable in its US/NATO proxy war with Russia.
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Sources
2009 US Policy Paper Planned Current Israeli-Iranian Tensions; Brian Berletic; New Eastern Outloook; 2024-04-15
WHICH PATH TO PERSIA?; Kenneth M. Pollack and co-authors; The Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution; 2009-06
The US Plan to Bomb Iran; Peter Cronau; Consortium News; 2025-06-21
The World's Most Dangerous Man & His Enabler; Patrick Lawrence; Consortium News; 2025-06-16
“Israel does Washington’s wet work in West Asia.”
The Illegal Attack on Iran; Vijay Prashad; Consortium News; 2025-06-16
Iran’s ballistic missiles cause extensive destruction across Israel; thecradle.co; Archive.today; 2025-06-16
Israel bombs Iranian TV station during live broadcast; thecradle.co; Archive.today; 2025-06-16
Tehran dismantles Mossad sabotage network behind suicide drone attacks; thecradle.co; Archive.today; 2025-06-16
Oil prices stabilize after 13 percent spike over Israel's war on Iran; thecradle.co; Archive.today; 2025-06-16
Pentagon Chief Says US Moves Its Air Defense Systems From Ukraine to Middle East; N/A; Sputnik International; 2025-06-14
Iran says 45 children, women killed by Israel, condemns attack on hospital as 'war crime'; News; PressTV; 2025-06-16
Israeli Forces Kill 66 Palestinians in Gaza, Including 38 Aid Seekers; Dave DeCamp; Antiwar; 2025-06-16
US Using Israel to Provoke Iran War, Deny Responsibility, Minimize Retaliation; Brian Berletic; The New Atlas; 2025-06-12
Iran Retaliates Against US-Israeli Missile Strikes; Brian Berletic; The New Atlas; 2025-06-14
US-Israel War on Iran Continues: US Seeks Regime Change Before China Pivot (w/ Danny Haiphong); Brian Berletic; The New Atlas; 2025-06-16
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