Usrael: A Proxy-Bridge Too Far
Usrael: A Proxy-Bridge Too Far
A rewind from 2006 to the present in review of two current proxy wars.
[Extermination Nation, by Mr. Fish]
Published: 2024-10-18
Preface
I wished to take you back to events from 2006 to 2008 to set some context for current world events. It produced almost 6000 words. My apologies.
Introduction
Gilbert Doctorow prompted alternate media expert commentators to ask themselves who are the political directors behind the IDF in its series of flagrant abuses of the international system built by the US after WWII? The implied choice was Israel or the US.
The best, and most equivocating, response was by Matt Hoh, who answered "yes" to Dimitri Lascaris on Reason2Resist. Indeed, the title of this newsletter Yes Xor No asks us to reject "Us or Them" questions and consider the common situation of "both are true". The distinction embedded in the question is the error.
Israel is a settler colonial project established by a collection of nations, the US being the most powerful at the time, which are themselves settler colonial states. Perhaps a term is required to remove the confusion from answers to Doctorow's question. Who is the political director behind the dismantling of the "Rules Based International Order" via a continued accelerated genocide? Usrael.
To understand Usrael, one should see within it each half acting as a proxy for the other and the two being one, all at the same time. They are neither distinct nor united. It could be called ambigous plausible deniabliity. Be Zen with the cognitive dissonance.
Reader responses to the article in which Doctorow posed his question included a reference to a 2007 paper which advised the US not to directly fight wars. To alleviate resistance generated by corpses returning draped in US flags and erudite antiwar veterans the warring state should instead use proxy forces. This is precisely what Usrael has done since, in Libya (where Salafi & Wahhabi fundamentalists are the proxy forces) & Syria (where the same fundamentalists and Kurds are the proxy forces), Ukraine (where neo-Nazis and Ukrainian nationalists are the proxy forces) and now Palestine (where Israeli Jewish Zionists are the "proxy" force for the US and a native force for Israel, but which the US declares it will forever defend).
The US Army and Marines don't get involved in protracted battles. They occupy positions which are strategic to some geopolitical purpose. In northeastern Syria they are securing the theft of oil being supplied to Israel via Turkey. At "Tower 22" in Jordan they support the other illegal base on Syrian soil at Al Tanf which straddles the most important road between Syria and Iraq. From there the road extends onward to Iran in one direction, and to Lebanon in the other. Its purpose is to limit trade to Usraeli specification between Iran, Iraq, Syria and Lebanon.
Usrael heads the western coalition most known by its military alliance NATO and its economic group, the G7. Usrael's complete hypocrisy in the application of international law, permitting itself to commit outrageous activities like bombing consulates, running a genocide or inciting and/or initiating every one of the wars mentioned above, has alarmed the rest of the world. I maintain that while these immoral, horrific wars have shocked populaces, it has been Usrael & co's abuse of international finance and trade which has been the driving force behind the international coalitions which are seeking escape from its abuse.
Zooming Back
The first of many events from 2006 to 2008 which this essay notes is Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin's speech to the 2007 Munich Security Conference. 17 years later it has earned the adjective "famous". One upload of it to Youtube has been watched 1.9 million times, which one expects is a record for a 30 minute long political speech at security conferences. That view count is from but one of the uploaded copies. All of them are blocked by age restrictions, which is instructive of the political censorship at Google.
Four years later, in 2011, another highly significant event occurred. It was the U.N. Security Council vote authorizing the NATO "no fly zone" over Libya. Two nations, now leading the creation of a new geopolitical space, possessed a veto on that council and failed to use it. The CIA initiated and NATO elevated war in Libya was approved. It was a quintessential unipolar moment. Its light would soon be crowded out by the Syrian Dirty War.
The Global War on/of Terror had become a globe spanning "forever war". It was the new US economy. US corporations had fully "globalized" and outsourced manufacturing to southern and eastern Asia in the 1990s. The remaining industries all became "Big", coordinated via lobbying following the model established via the US Military Industrial Complex: Big Oil, Big Pharma, Big Tech ("Social Media"), Big Ag. The globalized businesses lived off government spending or were arranged into monopolies, some divided by geographic region (telco's for example). The lauded US "free market" was destroyed. Its other most significant political contributions encoded in its "Bill of Rights" are still being abused and eroded.
In 2013, Edward Snowden helped everyone realize that the 4th Amendment is gone. The NSA seizes a copy of your digital "effects" every second and searches them at will. Government censorship via Big Tech has eviscerated the 1st Amendment's protection of speech. Its protection of assembly has been under US attack since the labour movements of the early 20th century.
In Usrael, there is almost nothing left of the European Enlightenment. It will take action by US citizens to see what they can salvage from their half. The Jewish Zionists oppose political rights for non-Jews. Israel is a doomed apartheid state.
Let us take stock of the two current "proxy wars" being run against two of the four most influential members of the coalitions against Usrael and its clique of former colonial powers. Those two coalitions are BRICS and the SCO (the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation), of which regular readers will be familiar. The intersecting four member nation states are: China, Russia, Iran and India. Two are under attack (Russia and Iran), while Usrael is preparing a war with China. India has had CIA orchestrated coups, both administered by State Department/CIA operative Donald Lew, on its west in Pakistan and east in Bangladesh as warnings.
The Islamic Republic of Iran
In January 2020, Usrael murdered Iranian Republican Guard Corps (IRGC) General Soleimani and Iraqi Popular Mobilization Units (PMUs) leader Muhandis in a missile strike next to Baghdad Airport while Soleimani was on a diplomatic mission. There are posters of these heroes throughout Iraq. Soleimani was killed because Israel takes glee in assassinating its enemies and Donald Trump has the geopolitical sophistication of a potato. In fairness to Trump, his level of international understanding equates with much of the US foreign policy blob and Congress. In fairness to Soleimani, he was the most effective leader of regional resistance to Usrael, as we shall see.
Rewinding to the 2006 to 2008 period, by 2007 Iran had intelligently decided against the development of a nuclear weapon. Instead, it developed all of the technologies required, but never constituted a weapons program. This was acknowledged by western spy organisations and has been corroborated by the U.N. International Atomic Energy Agency’s inspectors. The current head of the CIA recently re-asserted this known fact to hopefully remove it from the discourse of the current US presidential election where it had been inserted by Zionists for fear mongering purposes.
Instead of nuclear weapons, Iran took a totally different strategy. The leader of its implementation was Soleimani. His assassination was too late. He had already achieved more than any other in preparing the region to free itself of Usrael's control.
It is important to understand that after the CIA & MI-6 coup in Iran in 1953, they re-installed the Shah, whose secret police, the SAVAK, brutally oppressed political expression in Iran. Please understand this. Political expression today in Iran is far freer than it was under the Western installed Shah. That repression drove political dissent into the Mosques which explains the origin of the Islamic Revolution in 1979. It is only 45 years ago, a generation and a half, that Iranians overthrew the Shah and his SAVAK. Those revolutionaries were forced, by the West, to utilize religious institutions as a cover and message delivery mechanism.
Iran's strategy to counter Usrael and rebuild Iran's stability via influence in the region used its known mechanism of communication, the religion of Islam's infrastructure (Mosques and schools etc.) for communication and coordination. The core military strategy was to deny the West its power — air power. All resistance facilities needed to be constructed underground.
Keeping our eyes on our starting period, Israel's last failed invasion of Lebanon was defeated in 2006. Hizbollah recently published a video of some of its under ground facilities. They are spacious and extensive. We have also seen some of the tunnel networks constructed in Gaza. Those tunnels have certainly been extended in the period since Hamas was elected by Palestinians to rule Gaza in 2007. Hamas and Hizbollah have had over 15 years to build and extend their subterranean military facilities.
Another aspect of Iran's strategy was to assist the strongest resistance group in each nation in which one emerged in the region, again using the infrastructure of the Islamic faith. Soleimani built the Popular Mobilization Units (PMUs) in Iraq with Muhandis following revered Shia Cleric al Sistani’s fatwa to defend the holy city of Baghdad. Today, the PMUs are a component of Iraq's national armed forces. This in itself displays some of Usrael's ineptitude. Their Syrian Dirty War resulted not in the overthrow of Syrian President al Assad but in Iran building a collection of Shia militias in Iraq which have been integrated into Iraq's armed forces. The defeat of the religious extremists in Syria and Iraq, funded and armed by the CIA and promoted by MI-6 via their “White Helmets” propaganda construct, was primarily due to assistance from Iran and Russia. Hizbollah also contributed.
Iran has supported Hamas and Hizbollah. Through the IRGC it also supported Ansarallah in Yemen. The IRGC has encouraged and facilitated the sharing of learned, effective tactics across these national militias, the "Axis of Resistance".
All four of these groups in Iraq, Lebanon, Palestine and Yemen have their own domestic political agendas. They are unified in their understanding that Israel is a sadistic, violent, ethno-supremacist settler colonial project which must be removed from their region. They are collaborating on effective military and political tactics towards that end.
All of them use underground military facilities. All of them are defending their land and people against Usrael. The subterranean strategy forces Usrael to come and fight them on their terms, on the ground, on their territory, nullifying the perceived technological advantage of their oppressor.
Usrael labels these resistance organisations "terrorists". This labeling is statistically false, as Larry Johnson has recently documented from Usraeli figures. The Usraeli political leaders of the IDF misuse this propaganda label on elements of the Axis while the IDF is dropping US made "bunker buster" bombs on women and children in Gaza and Beirut.
Iran: State of War
Usrael has again fallen for the bait of invading Lebanon. Yes, Israel's parliament is led by a bunch of insane Zionists with a leader who is trying to avoid charges of corruption, and potentially treason for attacking the independence of the judiciary. Yes, that leader is running a US supported genocide in Gaza. And, yes, the invasion of Lebanon is intended to distract from all of that. The genocidal Usraeli leader in southwest Asia is attempting to start a full regional war by having the US military commit its Army and Marine Corps to a war with Iran in Iran. The Israeli wing of Usrael wants the US to break free of its proxy war strategy, to reassert control over the oil rich region and its peoples for Usraeli benefit.
This will fail. The US may commit soldiers "on the ground" and may get sucked in to defending the indefensible. It will fail if it tries to fight outside of the borders of the Mandate of Palestine. Its military leadership know this. The US military is in a weak state. It shares some of the problems of its other proxy force in Ukraine, to which we shall come.
Returning to Iran's decision to not develop nuclear weapons, but rather to support a regional network of militias and to develop its own missile and drone technology, it holds the cards to defeat Usrael. In Iran's two responses to attacks by Usrael, Iranian missiles penetrated the best Western missile defence shield, which sits over Israel, twice. The first response used a flooding of old drones and missiles to force Usrael to consume a large amount of its missile defense capability, which was an achievement in itself. The firing of Israeli missile defenses exposed their location. In the second response, no flood was required. Faster, more advanced missiles were used to damage military infrastructure and destroy some of the missile defense systems which had been revealed during the first attack.
That Iran was able to do this, twice, sent an unmistakable message to Usrael: you have no defence against Iran’s missile capability. Under the reach of that capability are both Israel and every single US foreign military base and every US ship in the region. Iran can destroy whatever it wants to destroy, using the thousands of missiles it possesses. The only Usraeli defence is to destroy those missiles or overthrow the government of Iran. The only way to do that is to invade Iran. We are back at Iran's strategy: subterranean military infrastructure -- come and fight the 80 million Iranians in Iran.
Nuclear weapons are crude and poisonous. Iran possesses large quantities of impervious, high precision, non-poisonous missiles. It does not need nuclear tipped ones. If Usreal wasn’t shit scared of what Iran can do, it would already have responded to the second penetration of Usrael’s fabled missile “shield”. It hasn’t responded, ergo it is scared. Thus, Iran doesn’t need any other weaponry.
Discussions of Iran's non-existent nuclear weapons are Zionist fear mongering. Don't fall for it.
Hizbollah
The recent Hizbollah attack on the IDF's elite Golani Brigade HQ, in Benyamina south of Haifa, killed at least 4 soldiers and wounded around 70. The attack was via two drones which, obviously, the IDF could not shoot down. The reason they were not shot down was that the IDF could not see them. Why they could not was relayed by Gilbert Doctorow from the Russian show "The Great Game" where Russian military experts offered the sensible explanation. They were, in essence, "stealth" drones.
"Stealth" is merely ensuring that one does not use in the construction of a flying machine lengths of metal which exceed a length dictated by the wavelength of the radars from which one is trying to remain invisible. During the last decade, production of carbon fibre has become ubiquitous in civilian, industrial production, from sports equipment to hobby drones. This is the simple explanation for the drone invisibility. There is more to "invisibility". Reducing surface reflectivity is also important, but this too is not expensive or difficult to achieve either (paint). Whatever the case, Hizbollah successfully attacked the HQ of an elite IDF Brigade.
We also know that Hizbollah has flown at least three drone surveillance flights over Israel. It knows where Israel keeps everything they wish to know about; military facilities, radars etc.. We were shown visual images of those flights. One can be certain that they also had multi-spectral cameras (which are relatively cheap). From this they could map communications systems, and many other infrastructures. Hizbollah knows where things of interest to it are located in Israel and it has stealth-like munitions to attack them.
If Hizbollah can attack an elite Brigade in their HQ, what possible protection can the IDF provide to citizens to return to the north? This is the stated objective for the IDF's invasion of Lebanon. Usrael has hit three road blocks during its failing invasion of Lebanon.
Hizbollah is the most physically dangerous of these impediments for the invading IDF. Hizbollah has inflicted casualties both on invading IDF units and those at staging areas in northern Palestine/Israel.
The second road-block is potentially more dangerous, politically. It is UNIFIL. The UN peacekeepers have stood their ground and received political support from the nation states which comprise the UN Security Council mandated peacekeeping force. Ireland was the first nation to tell the Israeli Zionist leader to go pound sand. France's Macron has responded by limiting arms sales to Israel.
The IDF even used the Irish post as a U.N shield, parking 3 tanks next to it, tempting Hizbollah to attack them so that the IDF's political leadership could then issue more lies. Their hope was to issue statements about Hizbollah attacking the U.N. peacekeepers when, in fact, this is what the IDF has been doing. This is just par for the course with the Usraeli Zionists and their constant mendacity and propaganda.
The third threat is based on another component of the strategy employed by the Axis of Resistance. Scott Ritter terms it "escalation management". Another may be "war of attrition". It, like subterranean facilities and stand-off weaponry which cannot be defeated by missile shields and radars, is essential to understanding the nature of the conflict.
None of the Axis of Resistance wants a regional war, as this would cause even more damage to civilian infrastructure. Preventing a full war requires that one maintain pressure but does not trigger a full US military engagement. The constant care by Axis elements to only target military installations is required by this objective. That care also ensures that they are complying with the laws of combat. It also preserves political support from the peoples of the region. If one ignores the language used in Western media, one will observe that the Axis responds. It does not initiate attacks, and those responses are proportionate to the attacks issued against them.
Within that third strategic "escalation management" road-block to Usrael is Hizbollah's rocketry. While the IDF has failed to achieve moving even 1 Km into southern Lebanon, Hizbollah is firing between one and two hundred rockets a day at northern Israel/Palestine, and particularly at the port of Haifa. Haifa is the Zionists’ most important port. It is currently not fully operational. The US can deliver goods via military transport to Israel's airbase in the Negev desert where they've installed their irrelevant THAAD system, but that wont sustain the Zionist settler population. It needs fuel, food and consumer goods which need to be delivered by ship and truck.
Ansarallah
Ansarallah's primary role in the Axis has been an economic attack on Israel targeting shipping, though it has flown some drones to attack Israel. Ansarallah caused the least important, major, Israeli port at Eilat to declare bankruptcy. Recently, they launched a hypersonic missile which landed near Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv. It bypassed all of Usrael's vaunted defenses. In response, Usrael sent a commando team of 50 soldiers into Yemen for an unknown purpose. The invaders were all killed by Ansarallah. Usrael also repeated attacks long made during the Usrael + Saudi war on Yemen by attacking port facilities and fuel storage at the Yemeni port of Hodeidah. Ansarallah remains undeterred and undefeated the US Navy and Israel.
Usrael and its Western club of vassals do not regard Ansarallah as the legitimate government of Yemen. Ansarallah holds the Yemeni capital, Sana'a, where regular gatherings of hundreds of thousand come to support them. Ansarallah are not motivated by receiving legitimacy from the "West", but by defending their land and supporting their brothers and sisters in Palestine who are suffering a genocide at the hands of the Usraeli Zionists.
They, with Hizbollah, were the first to actively comply with the Genocide Convention by militarily opposing the military force which was committing the genocide -- the IDF. These two militias of the Axis of Resistance have put every other military force, outside of the Axis, to shame. They stood against genocide in the only way that a force committing a genocide understands. One does not need a U.N. Security Council resolution to comply with the Convention — one just acts as the convention demands — to prohibit and punish those committing the genocide.
A Proxy-Bridge Too Far
The current stand-off between Usrael and Iran has reached an impasse because of leaks to the US media by its regime. Usrael was negotiating with Iran to find a punishment which Iran could accept and to which it would not respond. A measure to help Usrael's leaderships’ bruised ego had been found, but this was leaked. This naturally embarrassed Iranian President Pezeshkian, after he was previously fooled with the promise a ceasefire in Gaza into delaying Iran's response to the murder of official guest, Hamas Secretary General Haniyeh, at Pezeshkian's inauguration. In response to the leak, Iran has refused all further diplomatic contact with mendacious and duplicitous Usrael. Thus, Usrael can attack and bear the consequences, of which it will learn after Iran's response.
Any attack Usrael chooses will be difficult to achieve.
The first challenge is the assistance which Russia has provided to Iran which is believed to comprise multiple, Russian operated S-400 missile defense systems, which actually work, and a long range electronic warfare system which blinds missiles and jets to satellite navigation and other communications. These reduce the targets which could be successfully attacked.
The second problem is the logistics of the attack itself. Flying from Israel would require bombers and escorting fighter jets to be refueled. Iran has issued very clear messages to its neighbours that if they allow this in their airspace, Iran will view them as co-belligerents. Iran can easily, seriously weaken the defense forces of any of these Gulf Monarchies, or US bases within their territories, which would unleash the local Arab populations and may result in the toppling of governments. Particularly at risk would be Jordan.
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has recently re-issued the most friendly of brotherly, diplomatic rhetoric for Iran furthering the China/Russia mediated rapproachment between the nations established in 2023. The Gulf Council has declared its member states neutral, which is to say they will not provide air space support. Pakistan has previously suggested that if Iran were attacked it may provide nuclear weapon support to Iran. This indicates that it will not provide airspace support either.
Scott Ritter summarized his considerations of the above on Dialogue Works. Israel achieving any significant attack on Iran would be "a tall order".
Usrael's only overt option is to use its Israel's long range Jericho missiles. We must wait to see how effective they would be. But, if they do this, Russia will learn their flight characteristics, just as they have against NATO's missiles in Ukraine. This will mean that later Jericho attacks would be significantly less effective.
Usrael's other response choice is terrorism via covert means.
Whatever Usrael does, Iran has stated that it will respond. That response will certainly be sufficient but not excessive. Escalation management is the name of the game. Usrael is losing, and more so each month. As it escalates and continues the genocide in Gaza its economy is collapsing and world opinion against it is growing.
The BDS movement is returning. The people of the world have begun to boycott Israeli products. Has, as Prof. Marandi suggested, the world begun to boycott US and other genocide supporting nations' products too?
[Frankly Speaking, Mr. Fish, ScheerPost, 2024-10-15]
The Russian Federation
During the months which led to the dissolution of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), the Russian republic became the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic. Its only president, Boris Yeltsin, was elected in June 1991 before the dissolution on December 26th. Yeltsin continued as President of what became the Russian Federation which kept Russia's seat at the United Nations Security Council.
Yeltsin initiated the "Chicago Boys" "Shock Therapy" economic treatment of Russia which involved the wholesale transfer of state assets to a new class of oligarchs. The US did not "meddle" in the 1996 election in the Russian Federation but bought it for Yeltsin. The cover of Time magazine displayed how proud the US was of this achievement, because Yeltsin had very little chance of winning that election given the disastrous economic conditions he had created at Western instruction. Prof. Jeffrey Sachs had assisted Poland in its economic integration into the West, which involved significant foreign investment. His repeated calls for the same treatment for Russia were ignored.
It is not difficult to argue that the West's Russo-phobia, which underpinned this vicious economic dismemberment of Russia, resulted in Russia's resurgent independence. In 1999, Russian Federation President Yeltsin hand-picked Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin to be his successor. No better thing could have happened for Russia.
A clear understanding of just how disastrous the economic conditions were in Russia during the first decade after the dissolution, partially caused by the economic model chosen by the US and implemented under Yeltsin, can be obtained from the US National Institute for Health:
Male life expectancy at birth in Russia fell by six years between 1991 and 1994, from an already-low 63.4 years to 57.4 years over that period, an almost unprecedented decrease in life expectancy in three years. [...] The life expectancy decline reversed in 1995, and mortality rates improved for several years, until the 1998 financial crisis hit the country. Male life expectancy declined by two years between 1998 and 2000, reflecting that—at least in the first decade of transition—life expectancy, especially male life expectancy, appeared to be highly sensitive to changes in real GDP growth. Male life expectancy remained stable at about 59 years from 2000 to 2005 before a new pattern emerged of extended, rapid gains beginning in 2006. Male and female life expectancy reached 68.2 and 78.2 years, respectively, by 2019, by the far the highest life expectancy for men and women in Russia’s history.
[Mortality in Russia Since the Fall of the Soviet Union, Elizabeth Brainerd, US National Institute of Health, 2021]
Returning to the famous 2007 speech by President Putin at the Munich Security Conference, it was in response to the US intention to fold both Ukraine and Georgia into NATO. This plan was in accordance with a strategy published by Zbigniew Brzezinski in his 1997 book "The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives", irrespective of William Burns' "NYET MEANS NYET" State Department cable written in 2008.
In January 2004, Mikhail Saakashvili was elected President of Georgia after the first of the CIA's "color revolutions", the "Rose" revolution in Georgia in November 2003. Two Georgian regions of Russian speaking and ethnic populations in South Ossetia and Abkhazia had sought independence from Georgia since just after the dissolution of the USSR. In March 2008, one month before the scheduled NATO meeting in Bucharest, Saakashvili's Georgia requested to join NATO while both of the breakaway territories maintained their desire to leave Georgia.
The parallels with the situation in Ukraine 14 years later could not be more striking. A nation with a US controlled president attempted to join NATO while two regions were seeking independence and the protection of Russia. The situations for the potential inclusions of both Georgia and Ukraine into NATO were identical and broke the "rules" for a new member of NATO. No new NATO member can be at war (civil or otherwise). It must have stable borders. But, so important to the Russophobes were the inclusions of these two state into NATO that the rules could be discarded, on each occassion.
The signatory event which reinforced local support for the two Donbas oblasts in Ukraine to cede from it was the massacre in Odessa. There were many protests against the regime installed by the US, after Victoria Nuland’s coup in 2014, because it incorporated Ukrainian ultra-nationalists who worshiped Nazi accomplice Stepan Bandera and because that regime was banning the Russia language. At the protest in Odessa, over 50 protesters were burned alive in the Trades Union building. No government assistance came. No government prosecution has ever been made.
The Mayor of Odessa at the time was ex-Georgian president, CIA puppet and beneficiary of the first "color revolution", Mikhail Saakashvili.
Russia in Ukraine
Russia's entry into the 8 year long civil war in Ukraine was triggered by a dramatic, sudden 20 fold increase in shelling of Donbas by Ukrainian forces. It was a preparation for operations to overrun the Donbas which would have led to repeated massacres. While Western citizens may have noticed the reports in 2016 of Ukrainian Nazis fighting on the side of the Ukrainian government and then heard little more of the civil war in Ukraine, it was continuously and widely reported in Russia. The Russian population and that of eastern Ukraine are so closely related they are inter-married. Russia was pressured by domestic politics to assist the self-declared independent territories. Votes in Russia's Duma to provide the support were overwhelming.
Since Russia's assistance to the Donbas oblasts in February 2022 it has invaded the Kherson, Zaporozhye and Kharkiv regions. Ukraine has invaded Kursk.
Russia's military has been fighting Ukrainian soldiers and advanced NATO munitions fired by NATO soldiers all of whom have been provided NATO military intelligence assistance and are using NATO equipment. International corporations have bought more land in Ukraine than Russia has conquered on top of the already self-liberated Donbas oblasts.
During the conquest, Russia has defeated all of NATO's armaments. The Armed Forces of the Russia Federation (AFRF) is the most up-to-date, experienced land fighting force anywhere. It, like all militaries which succeed in extended warfare, has adapted to novel technologies used on the battlefield. None of NATO's "wunderweapons", most of which were NATO hand-me-downs, have been of any significant advantage to Ukraine. Conversely, Russia's use of its missile defense systems, FAB glide bombs, hypersonic missiles and drone warfare have enabled its armed forces to sustain the conflict at a loss ratio of approximatly 1 Russian casualty for every 5 Ukrainian.
Next year, Russia will produce 10 times its last year's production of drones, from 140 thousand to 1.4 million. Russia has outproduced NATO in armaments and drained NATO's armories to levels which its own militaries find dangerous. This lack of stocks and production is one of the reasons that the Pentagon is being cautious in southwest Asia.
Ukraine's suicidal invasion of Kursk is collapsing. The AFRF captured the key junction in the former center of the AFU’s primary invasion area. Ukraine's forces are now split into different pockets. Its western flank has been smashed. The autumn rains have just begun. This will fix in place all units which cannot use the roads the AFRF controls. The Armed Forces of Ukraine sacrificed over 20 thousand soldiers. Thousands of vehicles and other essential equipment have been destroyed.
From the northeast of Kharkiv to Zaporozhye in the south the AFRF is advancing.
An area to the east of Kupiansk has been isolated, cauldroned off. Russia is at the outskirts of Kupiansk City to its north east and has advanced to the eastern bank of the Oskol river to Kupiansk's south. The AFRF are advancing towards Siversk. It is positioned to surround Chasiv Yar. It has captured over half of Toretsk and all of Nui York. The AFRF is on the outskirts of Pokrovsk and has denied its use as a logistics hub. It has cauldroned off territory to its south and is beginning its assault on Kurakhove. The citadel of Vugledar has been captured. The AFRF is advancing northward in Zaporozhye.
Usrael's proxy forces in Ukraine are in retreat everywhere.
As noted previously in the newsletter, the retreat is due to a confluence of unsolvable Ukrainian problems. The AFU has almost sacrificed all of its well trained soldiers. It is capturing off the streets, or in restaurants and bars, men in their 50s. Some US legislators are pressuring Ukraine to lower the age for conscription to 18. Conscripts are given very little training. Ukraine has very little artillery ammunition because NATO's production is wildly insufficient. Ukraine has almost no air defense. Ukraine has almost no armored vehicles. Rates of surrender, or abandonment of positions have skyrocketed during the last year. The AFU is broken.
The AFRF has none of these problems. Col. Macgregor recently stated that Russia cannot accept all of the volunteers it is receiving.
Not only is Russia winning this war, NATO has lost it. Its military industries have insufficient production capacity to wage any war with a near competitor, let alone Russia, or China, or both. Its armories are bare. It has not adapted to modern ground warfare and adjusted its production to sustain it.
Russia has adapted. Russia has not only the capacity to assist its allies but also the most important gift: its understanding of the new model of ground warfare. We are seeing elements of this in southwest Asia.
This situation is a result of Usrael’s actions. It can’t fight a ground war because it doesn’t. Russia’s adapatations and increased strength is because Usrael chose to start this exact type of war with Russia, even though history informs one that this in itself is a failed strategy. Here again we can see the ineptitude of Usrael’s political, and especially foreign policy, leadership. They are strategically incompetent.
Geopolitics
Usrael provoked Russia to overtly enter the Ukrainian civil war which its puppet government started by threatening an ethnic cleansing of the Donbas. Its calculation was that its economic war would defeat Russia. Usrael and its NATO minions were utterly mistaken. They had not read the geopolitical map which this newsletter has been describing for 3 years.
Usrael began a genocide in response to a single day's attack on the IDF, the guards of the open air prison in which 2.3 million suffering Palestinian refugees had been confined for over 15 years. All the Zionist fabrications about Hamas atrocities have been proven false. Instead, what has been revealed is that the IDF killed hundreds of Israel citizens. Usrael has demonstrated that the lives of Israeli detainees in the hands of Hamas are less important to them than the genocide they are continuing. Usrael's IDF recently invaded Lebanon and is struggling to find a way to convince the Pentagon to agree to launch a war on Iran.
The outstanding majority of the world's nations want to escape from the economic manipulation and abuse of Usrael and the G7 club of former colonial nations. Usrael is immoral. It steals national bank assets. It uses military, political and economic violence to attempt to control the trade of the rest of the world, and to secure its access to the resources its industries want.
The hegemonic group's biggest problem is the collaboration against their rule. Russia, China, Iran and India, as the core, with other nations, have escaped their economic prison. In neither Ukraine nor southwest Asia can Usrael defeat, without the use of nuclear weapons, the military forces they have engaged. This is because their adversaries' tactics, technology and production are superior to their own. Because these armed forces are financially supported by an economically freed group of major nations, those forces cannot be defeated economically either. The hegemonic group led by Usrael is not impotent, but its hegemony is evaporating before the world's eyes.
The Global Majority understands Usrael's behaviour as colonial and ethno-supremacist imperialism. An alternative has been presented to them, a multi-nodal, multi-polar, multi-civilizational model which is not based on perpetual "forever wars", but negotiation and diplomacy. Not only does this new group, currently represented by BRICS and the SCO, have the largest economic influence (BRICS has a higher PPP that G7+Israel) but also possesses the world's leading military technologies, combat understanding and military production.
Usrael and its Western vassals have abandoned their most significant influence, their professed adherence to free speech, a free press, the rule of law and human rights. These are not rights. As George Carlin keenly observed, if something can be taken away it is not a right, but a privilege.
The Western colonial alliance has exposed itself as nothing more than a corrupt collection of crooks running regimes which have exposed the sadism and racism at their core; a killing machine run by a collection of bickering, ideologically blind, war criminals.
They refuse peace because they want war. They do not prevent a genocide because they approve of that genocide. They coup governments who do not follow their orders. They steal. They murder. They silence. And they lie, incessantly, laundering their propaganda through their own, complicit media.
The world does not need to put up with this. It is refusing to participate. Usrael is requesting economic ostracism. It is being gifted that isolation.
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Sources
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Prof. Marandi believes that an Iranian response will not be just “sufficient”, but powerful. He is not a member of the Iranian government or its military. He has served with Iran’s team negotiating the JCPOA in Europe.
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Culture
Roger Waters - The Gunner's Dream [aC9rY4HeN6A], 2021-01-18
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