Published: 2024-02-06
This ramble extends the Flying an Explosive Narrative article with some meta-analysis. It presents a merger of the three scenarios based on some guesswork and knowledge of modern cryptography. It also briefly considers the geopolitical consequences of the attack based on some of Helmer's analysis.
Notes/Corrections
The interview with Karaganov is published both at The Duran's youtube channel and Diesen's. If one is more interested in Diesen's collaboration than The Duran, one can examine his channel for that subset of The Duran's work.
At around the 16 minute mark I say 'al Tanf' when I mean ‘Tower 22’. i.e it is internationally illegal for Syrian or Iraqi forces to attack anything in Jordan, irrespective of whose forces are stationed there, without prior invitation from Jordan.
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Sources
Flying an Explosive Narrative, YesXorNo, 2024-02-05
Russia Lowering the Nuclear Threshold? - Sergey Karaganov, Alexander Mercouris, and Glenn Diesen, Diesen and Mercouris interview Karaganov, Glenn Diesen, 2024-01-28
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