"We are not fools", Zelensky
The Cruciatus Curse breaks Zelensky as US, UK and France mull over WWIII
[Lammy and Blinkenlights after a train trip to Kiev, 2024-09-11.]
Published: 2024-09-15
In "Raising the Stakes" John Wight reinforces the well understood nature of the war in Ukraine.
This is in truth a conflict between Russia and the West
The article focuses on the dramatic risks which are involved in the US, UK and France deciding to use long range missile systems, particularly the US JASSM's which pose a collection of threats. They have yet to be fired at Russia, so the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (AFRF) have no data or experience to use to adjust their highly effective missile defense systems. They will be a novel threat. That threat, given the range, can reach Moscow and potentially St. Petersburg. Ukraine has shown consistently for a decade that is has no qualms targeting civilian housing or infrastructure including hospitals, childcare centers, market places, water treatment plants or other infrastructure which is solely civilian. These are war crimes or terrorism, depending on how one wishes to classify them.
“We are not fools”
The US does war. Furthering this latest lost war serves the profits of its military industrial complex (MIC) and drives closer the alliance forming to escape its hegemony. The MIC is happily receiving profits from producing conventional weapons at a maximum capacity which is too small to assist Ukraine. It is also partying in the boondoggle of boondoggles, the "upgrading" of the US nuclear arsenal.
Like genocidal Zionist leader Netanyahu, expired Ukrainian president Zelensky cannot see any other solution to his predicament than escalating the war. He is either blind to the death and destruction of the war which his parliament has legislated to prevent him negotiating to end, or he does not care about the nation which he politically represents. His recent statements that all is going according to “our Ukrainian plan” when Russia smashed the western flank of his forces in Kursk indicate a delusion of monumental proportions. He sent ten to twenty thousand of his “reserve” NATO armed and NATO trained elite units employing NATO surveillance data and NATO tactics to invade Russia when he had already effectively lost the war. He is strategically insane.
He is so ill advised and invested in this orgy of death which is ravaging Ukraine's youth that his recent actions wreak of the desperate "do something" which one sees again and again in political leaders when no obvious solution to a problem is apparent to them.
The Uninvasion
The NATO facilitated invasion of the Russia Federation on Hiroshima Day, 2024, in the Kursk oblast is becoming the utter disaster which anybody could have predicted. It was not an "incursion". Zelensky has stated that he intended to hold the territory. While this insanity denies history, it was his stated intention. It was an invasion.
"Over the past 24 hours, the Ukrainian army’s losses amounted to roughly 300 personnel and 34 armored vehicles, including seven tanks, two infantry fighting vehicles, three armored personnel carriers and 22 armored combat vehicles, as well as an artillery gun, an electronic warfare station, two obstacle-clearing vehicles and eight motor vehicles," the [Russian] ministry [of Defence] said in a statement.
TASS 2024-09-13
That 'electronic warfare station' was very likely, reported Dima [Military Summary, see videos in sources below], a drone operator station, the location of which was provided by Ukrainian prisoners of the territorial brigade [poor troops] which was guarding the rear of more experienced and trained units in the northwestern zone of Ukrainian occupied Kursk. That territorial brigade was destroyed or surrendered. The more elite formations they were supposed to guard was surrounded and defeated during the past two days. The elemination of the drone (electronic warfare) station provided the AFRF with increased freedom of movment contributing to the elimiation of the surrounded elite units.
The western flank of the invading Ukrainian (and other nationals) forces has been mortally weakened by a Russian operation which began on September 9th and nobody but the combatants knew about until the 12th. Other operations by the AFRF have caused routes and retreats on the collapsing invasion’s eastern flank. The invasion is falling apart.
This Zelensky authorized, predictable disaster is the least of Ukraine's military problems.
The Eastern Fronts
The AFRF are currently running two major operations in Donbas, each of which has several active fronts. These are detailed in reports by Dima, from Military Summary. The most recent report allows us to see these operations and their fronts. All of them align with Russia's stated aims of the demilitarization of Ukraine in support of Lugansk and Donetsk, previously self-declared republics and now, post 2022 referenda, Russian oblasts.
To the north of the large water reservoirs on the Oskol river lies the major town of Kupiansk, in the eastern area of the Kharkiv oblast, to the west of Lugansk. Russia's current operation there will lead to the capture of Kupiansk. The AFRF are approaching from its northeast. To its south are a series of small towns running north-south on the eastern bank of the Oskol river's reservoirs. The AFRF are advancing towards them across the open fields, using where possible small settlements and tree-lines for cover.
[The yellow line delinates the water resevoirs and wetlands south of Kupiansk. The blue circles represent cauldrons being created by the westward advance in the middle.]
The AFRF are following their core tactic of creating a cauldron. When the AFRF reach the towns on the eastern bank of the Oskol river reservoirs it will isolate, "lop off", a huge area of territory to Kupiansk's east, northeast and southeast. Logistics to and from it will become increasingly risky, allowing the AFRF to outnumber and outgun the defensive forces there in exactly the same way as they have been, over and over, in their campaign in Ukraine's former eastern territories of the Donbas.
Sitrep
Informed commentators have been alerting their audiences to two concurrent disasters which are increasingly weakening the Armed Forces of Ukraine [AFU]; the inability to recruit to replace their heavily thinned ranks, and a lack of equipment. These are the consequences of the AFRF's effective war of attrition with a kill ratio of 1:5 [AFRF:AFU]. There is nothing that Ukraine or its NATO allies can do to alleviate either of these problems without committing their own militaries onto the fields of what remains of Ukraine. Given their populations' reluctance to commit military suicide there, Ukraine is checkmated. Kupiansk will fall in 2025 at the latest.
Of those two problems of men and equipment, Russia suffers neither. Indeed, Russia is producing over 30 000 men with 6 months of training, every single month. It is outproducing the entire NATO military industrial base.
Moving south, the second operation is the recent thrust towards Pokrovsk, at almost breakneck speed compared to previous fighting in central Donetsk. On its flanks are several fronts. The more active area is to Pokrovsk's southeast. There, the AFRF is on the outskirts of Pokrovsk and advancing into the north-south line of mining settlements to the southeast. These, like other Soviet era mining projects, have tailing hills near them. They are strategic heights, the possession of which provide vision and clear communications allowing coordinated tactics for military operations in the area.
The AFRF has captured some of the 7 hills and is contesting the others.
[Kurakhove lies on an east-west river with a large resevoir. The AFRF have already captured its continuation to the east. The lower blue “cauldron” circle partially hides the yellow arrows which indicate Ukrainian retreat. The AFRF recently captured a small but strong settlement in the middle of the mini-cauldron there — a brave and large operation involving around 50 armored vehicles. With that capture, the AFU is forced to abondon the pocket. This will enable the AFRF to push towards the eastern outskirts of Kurakhove where its long east-west resevoir will serve as a water barrier, spliting the north and south parts into two cauldrons.]
To the south of this major westward advance another is pushing along a river towards another water reservoir. The major town to its south, Kurakhove, is the key logistics point for everything southwards towards the now almost surrounded Vugledar. Between Kurakhove, the mining strip and the AFRF's line to the east is a large cauldron. The AFU have been withdrawing from this for over a week as the noose has been tightening. Once the AFU complete there withdrawal, this will dramatically shorten the AFRF’s lines, re-releasing troops.
In parallel with the withdrawal and the threat on the mining settlements, Kurakhove and Pokrovsk, the AFRF are pushing from the south, around Vugledar to the northwest to meet up with the push to Kurakhove.
Onward the fronts advance as cauldrons are begun, formed and threaten to be closed.
The AFRF are still making rapid advances even after some of the AFU's better forces have been redeployed back into Donetsk from their staging point at Sumy from where they were on reserve to enter the cemetery of Kursk. The sustained pace of Russia's advances is evidence for the lack of AFU soldiers and equipment stated above.
The AFU is being destroyed. It cannot withstand the multi-fronted major pushes, each of which threatens to cripple whatever remaining morale exists in the heavily depleted AFU units.
Strategy or Profiteering?
Returning to the long range missile antics, this latest escalation can have only two possible, useful outcomes for Ukraine's backers, the ideological Cold War warriors in the US and UK who generated and maintain this war. The first is a civilian revolt against Russia's political leadership because of extended, repeated terrorist attacks deep into Russia by the Ukrainian terrorists and war criminals. The chances of this revolt are next to zero. The ideologically driven Western leaders have no expertise on Russia's culture or character on which to draw, of they don't care. This ignorant Western leadership probably do not understand the decade long terrorist civil war inflicted upon the Russian speaking people of Donbas. Russia's population does. They are fighting Nazi's like their grandfathers, uncles and aunts, which explains the 30 000 new soldiers per month which the AFRF are releasing from their 6 months of training.
There is one other potential positive. Should Russia respond overwhelmingly and cause mass civilian casualties in Ukraine, this will give the US regime, in its pre-election phase, a reason to respond even more dramatically which they hope will benefit annointed candidate Vice President Harris. Should, alternately, Russia respond by attacking a NATO member state, this will complete the establishment of WWIII which these political calculators in Washington probably also hope will assist the empty vessel in the beige suit. Moscow's intelligent foreign service and foreign affairs advisors are well aware of all of this.
The US may believe it has checked Russia’s militarily response options because of domestic US political outcomes. Russia is in no way checkmated. It has plenty of freedom of movement. Some actions cause more dramatic responses than others. Russia will choose its actions rationally.
To this analyst's view, the strongest move for Russia is to not react, but to continue as it has been, describing the lawless terrorism initiated by the US proxy for what it is. Russia is surely expecting more terrorism via hired "ISIS" guns from Ukraine's intelligence service (GUR) after CIA and MI-6 leaders Burns and Moore told them that this is what is coming last weekend at the Financial Times event. The situation is difficult, but not dire. The Kremlin and Russia's people have seen off the Crocus Hall attack, and those in Dagestan. From investigations into these, Russia's intelligence and investigative services have learned of the types of networks which the GUR and its CIA and MI-6 backers use.
The US Establishment/Deep State's control over its own media, and particularly independent media, is failing. Recent threats against Scott Ritter, Richard Medhurst, Larry Johnson, Judge Andrew Napolitano, The Cradle and many others are evidence of this loss of control. Another is the US Dept. of Justice resurrecting the RussiaGate Hoax. The Deep State is partially split on candidacy, with some Tech billionaires supporting Trump [Peter Thiel]. The Democratic establishement is in a panic. We know, because their mouthpieces have started questioning whether the 1st Amendment is dangerous to their control of narrative. They are fearful, not so much of accurate reporting, as populism. Its cause is economic, rather than informational. Treating the economic problem will take decades and cost the profits of the donors. Attacking the messengers is a cheaper, faster and familiar tactict (c.f Julian Assange), though will not address the cause.
Interestingly, as Ukraine is being "cauldroned" into a corner in the war, the establishment forces in the US are also caught. On the geopolitical front, their actions, including sanctions, war and thieving foreign Reserve Bank assets, have generated the BRICS+/SCO alliance working towards dethroning the US dollar. On the home front, the misery of poverty is driving political forces which they have do not know how to control, except with the non-solution of banning speech. To make matters worse, non-British US European allies are getting cold feet and realizing that the folly of Project Ukraine is being recognized on continental Europe, as demonstrated in recent European, French and regional German elections. One of their greatest fears was revealed by former Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski (married to rabid US neo-con journalist Anne Applebaum) when he answered a prank call by Vovan & Lexus [see sources] posing (again) as former Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko. His fear is another wave of immigrants and refugees from Ukraine into western Europe, some of which has been driving the political backlash against the war. Russia can easily cause this by repeated attacks on Ukraine's electricity grid, just before winter. This is a response to the US missile escalation which Russia can make militarily inside Ukraine. Another, noted by the Kremlin during the previous escalation, is to supply arms and/or intelligence in just the way that the US does to Ukraine, but to militia forces which wish to attack the US. There are plenty of these in southwest Asia where the US is illegally occupying one country and is thoroughly unwelcome in just about every other.
With his rapidly diminishing military options, loss of support from Germany and his prime sponsor not providing sufficient funds or weaponry to fabricate sufficient pretense to convince anyone that Ukraine has a chance in the war, Zelensky is cracking. In response to a question regarding Russia's recent attacks in Kursk, the former actor declared that everything is going according to "our Ukrainian plan". He followed that delusional statement by attacking Brazil and China for having the temerity to issue peace plans without consulting him first. Again denying reality, he declared "We are not fools". The expired president is well out of his depth. He has begun improvising. Perhaps his controllers have chosen to limit his ability to read the script. Either would indicate that his utility is seriously waning.
[From Alex Christoforou, see sources.]
The Script
The recent series of events from the Ramstein meeting of September 6th, the joint Spy Agency event hosted by the Financial Times, the visits to Kiev by US Secretary of State Blinken and his UK counterpartLammy are to be followed by a visit to Washington by new UK Prime Minister Starmer and Zelensky. All of this was arranged months in advance. The lame duck US regime is coordinating activity to pass the torch to the newly coronated woman in the beige slacks while her failing superior sleepwalks his last few months out of office.
The elephant in the room, of course, is nuclear weapons, and particularly the "low yield", "tactical" ones. Assuming they stay cold, Russia can withstand some more Western funded and coordinated terrorism and reflect the understanding of that threat onto the radar of its allies. Biden may yet complete his term without starting a world war. His is unlikely to totally avoid the colossal corruption scandal behind Project Ukraine, but that depends to some degree on the election outcome.
The West is digging itself further into the hole it has been constructing since the Syrian Dirty War. That earlier, CIA+MI-6 generated civil war, instigated with another band of extremists, Muslim Jihadists rather than Nazis, failed but alerted powerful non-G7 nations to the US intention to continue the same strategy of fomenting forever wars. That Hamas' attack on the Zionists is slowly but surely generating another civil war, in Israel, leaves a blazing trail across recent history to be written up by this generation's historians.
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Sources
Ukraine’s army loses roughly 300 troops, seven tanks in Kursk area over past day, TASS, 2024-09-13
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Vovan and Lexus pranked Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski (Eng) [SjER-c9C7FE], meme-art-alchemy, 2024-09-12
yt-dlp https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjER-c9C7FE
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